Monday, August 28, 2006

Dems Hoping Really Hard, Carville Has Moment

Well, the Democratic party is slowly "smug-ifying" itself to prepare for a landslide in November. I sure hope they are as confident as they seem; as Carville points out:

"We have to go back to 1974 (during Watergate) to find such a favorable environment,'' says James Carville, who ran Bill Clinton's 1992 presidential campaign. "If we can't win in this environment, we have to question the whole premise of the party.'' (emphasis mine)
However, recent polling trends actually show the GOP gaining steam; indeed, as of the latest round of polls over at Real Clear Politics shows an 8.2% spread in favor of the Democrats. Given that they have led by as much as 20% in previous months, things aren't quite as good for the Left now as they have been. As shown in my super-cool Excel graph below, the trend is in the favor of the Good Guys (tm):

Bill McInturff, the pre-eminent Republican pollster who sees survey data from all over the country, isn't any more sanguine. "The national mood is like that of sweep elections,'' he says. "People are angry about Iraq, about gas prices, about health care.''
Unfortunately for the Democrats, there's absolutely nothing anyone can do about gas prices, and health care is a mess for both parties. There, I just axed two of their talking points in one sentence. When it comes right down to it, the Dems have a very limited platform so far:

  • Congressional Integrity
  • Wal-Mart Hatred
  • Immediate withdrawal from Iraq
  • Anti-NSA / Banking Programs
  • Immigration

As shown in polling data over at Hotline shows just how narrow the Left's focus is:

Which Issue Should Be Top Priority
For Your Member Of Congress?^
LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Immigration 17% 13% 4% 25% 11%
War in Iraq 15 17 15 17 18
Economy/jobs 14 14 19 11 9
Health care 10 10 16 7 4
Education 7 8 8 9 6
Gas prices 6 6 6 6 5
Soc. Sec. 6 9 6 11 9
Gov't corrupt. 5 6 5 4 13
Environment 3 3 4 1 4

Which Issues Should Be Top Priority
For Congress?^ LVs All Dem GOP Ind
War in Iraq 23% 21% 23% 23% 14%
Immigration 13 11 5 19 12
Health care 12 12 11 10 14
Economy/jobs 10 11 13 7 15
Gas prices 9 9 8 9 11
Environment 6 4 7 2 4
Gov't corrupt. 6 6 4 10 4
Education 4 4 3 3 10
Soc. Sec. 4 5 5 6 2

The Democrats don't care about Immigration. In fact, more leftists believe that congress should be focused on the environment than on immigration! And very few are worried about government corruption. The constituents of the Democratic party are out of touch with the rest of the nation.

But wait, there's more!

If Dems Controlled Congress, Would
US Be ___ From Terrorism Than It
Is Today?^ LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Safer 23% 20% 40% 6% 10%
Less safe 29 25 9 52 14
Same 38 44 40 37 64

If A Dem Was Pres., Would US Be
___ From Terrorism Than It Is
Today?^ LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Safer 29% 25% 47% 7% 11%
Less safe 24 23 8 45 25
Same 38 41 36 41 50

In what is by relation (to Iraq) the most important issue in this election, the Democrats don't even believe in their own party! By contrast, GOP respondents are solidly confident in their superiority in security. This is a huge revelation - in the end, why would you vote for a party you don't really believe will keep you safe?

Perhaps the most telling question of all:

Think Of War In Iraq As Part Of
GWOT? LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Part of GWOT 53% 53% 34% 79% 45%
Seperate 42 40 60 17 48

Look at the disparity between left and right. The middle is, the middle. But the left, by a two thirds majority, is employing schoolground rules of reality here -- if you close your eyes, cover your ears and scream The Star Spangled Banner, it will go away. Iraq isn't part of the GWOT because Bush says it is; if we say that enough, it must be true.

Given their predisposition to chew on each other like Kilkenny cats, equivocate about the economy, taxes, social security, national security and their irrational call to drop everything and "redeploy," I think a lot of Dems would be wise to "question the whole premise of the party" before November bites them hard.

Hat Tip: Big Lizards


Matt said...

God I dislike you sometimes. Once again, your twisting, spinning, assuming and bald faced lying about what Dem's want to do with this country once they get elected. All you do is fight talking points with more talking points sent to you by Sean Hannity. Don't be such a little weasel. Please don't sink down to that jerks level.

k2aggie07 said...

I'm just reading off the polls. 4-5% say immigration should be the top priority. Ergo, Dems aren't too concerned about it.

More leftists said that the environment should be congress' #1 priority than immigration. This is not my opinion; this is straight out of the poll's numbers.

If you want to dispute my last paragraph you're welcome to try. But kicking and screaming, calling me names, talking about "talking points" (I don't listen to Sean Hannity, nor do I watch TV) doesn't change these poll numbers.

What Democratic politicians want to do is one thing; this is what their constituents find important.

3agsmom said...

The main problem with the Democrats is that they are not identifying problems and proposing solutions to these problems. They simply are against anything the Republicans propose and/or do (whether the Republican stance is right/good or not). People very seldom go out in mass to vote "against" something. If you want to mobilize the public to go out and vote, you need to give them something to vote "for". They need to focus on having a platform that offers solutions and a plan not just a platform of simply being "anti-Bush". I would like to remind them that President Bush is not running for office again.

But, alas, let's hope they don't figure this out before the election.

Matt said...

Lets get ready to rumble... sorry for attacking you earlier. I don't dislike you personally, I just really dislike the things that you say. You're better than I am at getting your point across, but based on everything I know and believe (don't believe everything you think) I disagree with you so much that it gets frustrating. You understand. Summed up in two words: My bad.

I don't disagree with everything Bush says, only somewhere around 99% of it. And it's not because somebody told me to, or that my brain is wired in such a way that it's impossible for me to not hate the guy... it's that if I were in his position, my policies would be entirely different on almost every level (around 99% of them). Bush's administration is full of a bunch of cronies, people with the exact same ideology as him, who have shown time and time again to be incompetent in government. But this okay in the end because it reaffirms the basis of their ideology which is "government doesn't work". It doesn't matter if they do a horrible job because they can look back and say, "see, we told you so". They've bankrupted our national treasury, given the richest 1% of americans extended tax cuts in a time of DEBT. Up until 9/11, they ignored the threat that was Al Qaeda and the SPECIFIC warning that they would use planes as flying bombs. Healthcare costs have risen, public education is in shambles (just the way they want it). You know me, I could gone forever and ever. But that's not the point.

This president has lost my trust completely. I was wholeheartedly behind him after 9/11, I was ready to join the army. Everyone in the world was unified behind the United States of America. Now look at it. For lack of a better word, George Bush f*cked up big time.

I would like to see a GOP plan for the future. Because the "stay the course" approach to everything obviously isn't working. The country is so much worse off than it was 8 years ago. Remember when the president was having extra-marital sex in the oval ofice? You know the time when we had a budget surplus and the market was at it's highest rate of expansion since the 60's, and gas cost a buck a gallon? Yea, those were the good old days... Clinton's track record on domestic policies makes reagon and the two bushes look foolish. That's what I want, I want my liberals back in office. That's all.

If Democrats get elected this fall, they will attempt to balance the budget. Focus on fair(er) trade as opposed to free trade. They'll stop giving oil companies that've been reporting record high profits for the last 4 years, tax breaks. They'll reform healthcare and make sure that every single child in America has healthcare. They'll reform campaign contributions (again). They'll push for a voting system that allows you to make more choices at the ballot. They'll push for better initiatives into alternative energy's, and actually TRY to make our country energy independent.

Democrats aren't weak on terrorism. This is a huge misconception. When Clinton left Washington, on every front in terms of diplomacy and homeland security, our government was doing more to thwart terrorism than when Clinton took office.

k2aggie07 said...

Posted in its own topic.

Anonymous said...

Check for misspelled words.